Tropical Weather

The National Hurricane Center is watching 2 possible areas of tropical development in the Atlantic basin. The first area is in the Northeastern Gulf, with a 30% chance for tropical development over the next week. A brief tropical depression or tropical storm could form near north Florida on the Gulf side or Atlantic side impacting places, like Tampa and Jacksonville, with heavy rain. A second area of possible tropical development is being monitored in the far east Atlantic, near the Cabo Verde Islands. Chance for development here is very low, around 10%. Saharan dust will likely end chances for development over the coming week. Download FOX Local for your daily tropical updates.

As the Gulf remains quiet during hurricane season, activity continues to develop in the Pacific. FOX 26's Remeisha Shade has the latest tropical weather forecast. 

FOX 26 Meteorologist Remeisha Shade has the latest tropical weather forecast, which includes the latest on the Saharan Dust and much more for Monday, July 13, 2026. 

The tropics remain quiet in the Atlantic with the help of Saharan Dust.

Disturbance off of the Southeastern U.S. coast is no longer expected to have a chance to become a tropical depression or tropical storm. Saharan dust will continue to limit tropical development across a big chunk of the Atlantic basin.  Tropical activity is not expected the next seven days across the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of America. Keep in mind though that hurricane season doesn't end until November 30. So always stay alert even when things are quiet.

Weak area of low pressure off of the SE U.S. coast now has a near 0% chance for tropical development.  Nearby dry air is expected to prevent any further development into a tropical depression or tropical storm.  The disturbance will continue to drift south then west around an area of high pressure. No other tropical action is expected across the Atlantic Basin through the next 7 days.

A broad area of low pressure has developed off of the Southeastern US. Coast. However, there is only a very low 10% chance over the next two to seven days that it would turn into a tropical depression or tropical storm. The next name on the list is Bertha, but this is likely going to happen at this point. This system could spread some showers and storms down towards parts of Florida over the next few days. The rest of the tropics are quiet across the Atlantic Basin.

FOX 26 meteorologist Allison Gargaro gives the latest timing for Sarahan Dust heading to southeast Texas. She's also tracking a new tropical development in the southeast US.

Saharan dust remains spread across the Atlantic and Gulf, helping limit tropical development for now. That dusty air should keep any organized tropical systems from forming nearby. The Saharan dust is actually expected to get even thicker by early next week so the tropics should remain quiet through the first part of July. However, the peak of hurricane season is not until September and hurricane season runs all the way through the end of November. That is why it is always important to stay alert the entire season.

FOX 26 Meteorologist John Dawson speaks with Jaime Rhome, deputy director of the National Hurricane Center, at the National Tropical Weather Conference.

FOX 26 Meteorologist John Dawson talks with NOAA meteorologist and social scientist Dr. Kim Klockow McClain at the National Tropical Weather Conference.

FOX 26 Meteorologist John Dawson spoke with Dr. Philip Klotzbach at the National Tropical Weather Conference.

Tropical Storm Arthur will cross over the Houston area, but the heavy rain that came before it has moved away. FOX 26 meteorologist Remeisha Shade shares what to know about the storm, and Mekenna Earnhart and Leslie DelasBour shows the leftover rainwater in Brazoria and Galveston County.