Tropical Weather update - October 11, 2025
video

The National Hurricane Center is no longer issuing advisories on Jerry. Their focus now is on a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system, and a tropical depression could form next week while moving west-northwestward to northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.

Tropical Weather Forecast - October 10, 2025
video

The National Hurricane Center continues to track Tropical Storm Jerry which is moving away from the northern Leeward Islands. Jerry will make a sharp turn to the north this weekend, getting closer to Bermuda. It should pass safely east of Bermuda and is not a threat to the United States. Subtropical Strom Karen quickly formed today closer to Europe in the north Atlantic but has already become post-tropical over the open Atlantic. We now have had eleven named storms, 4 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes this season. Hurricane season runs all the way through November30th.

Tropical Weather update - October 9, 2025
video

The National Hurricane Center continues to track the tenth named storm of the Atlantic season. Tropical Storm Jerry is moving WNW in the Atlantic and is expected to become a hurricane by this weekend. Jerry will brush by tbe northern Leeward Islands and then make a sharp turn to the north this weekend. It should pass safely east of Bermuda and is not a threat to the United States. Another disturbance in the north Atlantic has a very low chance for tropical development before it moves into much cooler waters. Hurricane season runs through the end of November.

Tropical Weather Update - Watching for potential Gulf development, Tropical Storm Jerry expected to become hurricane
video

Tropical Storm Jerry became the 10th named storm of the season in the Central Atlantic on Tuesday and is expected to become a hurricane by the end of the week. Jerry will make a sharp turn to the north before reaching Puerto Rico and should get fairly close to Bermuda early next week. Another tropical wave that was near the Yucatan peninsula has tracked into the SW Gulf. It does not appear to be a threat to Houston but we will be watching it closely. It is projected to continue tracking west into southern Mexico bringing heavy rain, gusty wind and the threat for flooding.

Tropical Weather Forecast - Monitoring possible development in Gulf, Watching Tropical Storm Jerry
video

The National Hurricane Center has named the tenth storm of the Atlantic season. Tropical Storm Jerry has formed in the Central Atlantic and is expected to become a hurricane by Wednesday or Thursday. Another tropical wave that was near the Yucatan peninsula is tracking into the southern Gulf. It does not appear to be a threat to Houston but we will be watching it closely. It is projected to continue tracking west into southern Mexico bringing heavy rain, gusty wind and the threat for flooding. Hurricane season runs through the end of November.

Tropical Weather update - October 5, 2025
video

A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this week as it moves quickly across the central tropical Atlantic, approaching portions of the Leeward Islands later this week.

Tropical Weather update - October 4, 2025
video

A weak area of low pressure located over the north-central Gulf is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms off the coasts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward during the next day or two, reaching the coast of Texas by Monday. Development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds. In the Atlantic, recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that a broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, has formed several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and it could become a tropical depression next week while moving across the central tropical Atlantic.

Tropical Weather Update - October 3, 2025
video

There are couple of spots near the Gulf that have a small chance for development. First, the NHC has highlighted some lingering storms over Florida as having about a 10% chance to become a depression or storm. There is a jet stream disturbance that has sparked rain south of New Orleans. Chances look low for an organized tropical system, but it's not impossible. We'll look for some scattered showers locally tied in with that system by Monday. Elsewhere in the distant Atlantic, there will likely be a depression or storm forming next week, but it's thousands of miles away and the long-term path is uncertain. The next two names on the list for tropical systems are Jerry and Karen.

Tropical Weather Update - October 2, 2025
video

Imelda is no longer a hurricane but is still a large and powerful storm in the central atlantic. It brought heavy rain and strong winds to Bermuda this morning, but is racing away and will gradually weaken as it eventually makes its way to London. However, we can't let our guard down because there are now two new areas to watch in the Atlantic basin. One tropical wave coming off the West Coast of Africa has a low chance for slow development over the next week as it moves west. Another tropical wave near south Florida has a very low chance to develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next week as it pushes into the Gulf. If the system develops, it could spread a few more downpours into Southeast Texas. However, significant impacts are unlikely

Tropical Weather Forecast - Hurricane Imelda headed toward Bermuda Wednesday night
video

Hurricane Humberto has merged with a cold front today. So while it will still have hurricane force winds, it won't be a tropical system anymore - it is not making a direct impact on land. Hurricane Imelda is moving away from the U.S. East Coast and headed toward Bermuda tonight. There are no other short-term threats from the tropics. In the Gulf, it's not impossible for a weak are of low pressure to form over the next few days or so in the southern Gulf. Some related showers could move toward Texas, but for now it does not look like a big concern.

Tropical Weather Update - September 30, 2025
video

Imelda was upgraded to hurricane status this morning and is still bringing high waves and some rain from Florida to the Carolinas. Imelda is expected to make landfall across Bermuda Wednesday evening through Thursday as a hurricane & hurricane warnings are in effect. Farther to the east, Hurricane Humberto is weakening, but on day 4 of hurricane status and will send larger waves toward the Carolinas, the mid-Atlantic and New England. There is a small, weak low in the central Gulf that has a very small chance of development, but is unlikely to have any effects on our area.

Tracking Tropical Storm Imelda, Hurricane Humberto
video

Two tropical systems (with familiar names) are very close to each other east of Florida. Hurricane Humberto has been as major status since Friday and should remain at least a category 3 through Monday night. It will not threaten the U.S., other than helping to generate large waves. At the same time, Tropical Storm Imelda could get better organized slowly today and is not expected to make a landfall, but will bring rough waves and rain to coastal areas from Florida to South Carolina. Bother systems will likely move away from the U.S. over the next two to three days. Imelda could roll right over Bermuda by late Wednesday and Thursday. If these names sound familiar, six years ago, another Tropical Storm Imelda drenched the Houston area, especially east of Houston with several feet of rain - this caused flooding worse than Harvey in Chambers County. Hurricane Humberto was a noteworthy storm in the Gulf in 2007 when it went from a tropical depression in the morning to landfall in Port Arthur as a category 1 hurricane that night!

Topical Weather Update - Sept. 28, 2025
video

Tropical Storm Imelda has formed moving through the Bahamas. This system should make a turn out to the open waters of the Atlantic before making a landfall in the Southeast US. There are still concerns for impacts from Imelda on Florida, Georgia, and the Carolinas.

Tropical Weather Update - Sept. 27, 2025
video

Hurricane Humberto continues to strengthen and has become the third major hurricane of the season. It is currently a Cat 5 with 160mph maximum sustained winds. Nine is now a Tropical Depression and will soon become a Tropical Storm and be named Imelda. Our models (including the GFS, Euro and Fox Weather Model) show that it will near the Southeast Coast of the US this week.

Tropical Weather Update - Sept. 25, 2025
video

Gabrielle has become Post-Tropical but is still expected to bring near hurricane-force winds to the Azores islands tonight and Friday. Gabrielle could also bring some wind and rain to far away places like Portugal and even northern Morocco! Elsewhere, Tropical Storm Humberto will gain strength as it moves in between the East Coast and Bermuda. On top of that, another tropical storm could form very close to Humberto near Puerto Rico. That system could be a threat anywhere from Florida to the Carolinas.

Tropical Weather Forecast - September 24, 2025
video

The tropics are very active, but no systems are close to Texas and none appear to be a concern. Hurricane Gabrielle is racing northeast away from Bermuda & the United States. But hurricane warnings are in effect for the Azores, where Hurricane Gabrielle will pass over Thursday night and Friday. Tropical Storm Humberto has formed in the Alantic and is expected to become a hurricane by this weekend as it moves northwest. Invest 94-L is bringing stormy weather to Puerto Rico & the Virgin Islands. There's a chance one or both of these systems could bring rain & wind from Florida to the Carolinas from this weekend through next week.

Tropical Weather Forecast - September 23, 2025
video

Hurricane Gabrielle has become a textbook, intense major hurricane in the Atlantic - it is not affecting land, so is just a sight to behold. Elsewhere, two tropical waves, Invest 94L & 93L, are very close together east of the Caribbean and both pose a slight risk to the East Coast of the US with no threat to Texas. In Asia, Typhoon Ragasa will pass just south of Hong Kong with 140mph winds, so the southern coast of China is bracing for high winds and very large waves.

Tropical Weather Forecast: Watching Hurricane Gabrielle, other possible storm development
video

Hurricane Gabrielle is passing by Bermuda today as it has blown up into a massive major category 4 hurricane. But it's moving away from the U.S. and will not affect land over the next 4 days. It is expected to roll over the Azores late Thursday and Friday with winds still around 70 miles per hour. The remnant low could bring rain to places like France or Spain in about 6-7 days. Elsewhere, we're watching two tropical waves in the Atlantic and both have a decent chance to become tropical storms this week. They are both very far from Texas and look like a concern for the East Coast from Florida to North Carolina by this weekend.

Tropical Weather update - Sept. 21 2025
video

Things are getting complicated in the Atlantic. Gabrielle has now been upgraded to a hurricane. This system should continue to strengthen over the next several days possibly becoming a major hurricane by midweek. The National Hurricane Center is also keeping watch on two other areas for possible development into a tropical cyclone. One tropical wave has a 50% chance to become a tropical cyclone in the next 7 days and the other area has a 20% chance.