Talarico holds slim lead over Paxton in new poll as Election Day approaches

Democrat James Talarico holds a narrow lead over Republican Ken Paxton in the race for U.S. Senate as Election Day nears, according to a new poll.

The poll of 2,000 likely Texas voters was conducted by the Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at Texas Southern University was conducted between Oct. 21 and 25. It has a margin of error of +/- 2.19%. 

Republicans made up 40% of respondents, with Democrats comprising 31%, followed by independents at 24%, another party at 4% and unsure at 1%.

Margin in Texas Senate race is razor thin

The poll found that 49% of respondents planned to vote for Talarico, while 47% planned to vote for Paxton. Only 1% were undecided.

However, the margin is much wider in the favorability category. Talarico was viewed favorably by 48% of likely voters, while Paxton got a favorable rating with 42%

Talarico holds a 16-point margin against Paxton with independents, with 54% saying they intend to vote for Talarico. Paxton got 38% of independents.

James Talarico and Ken Paxton are running for senate in Texas for 2026.

(FOX Local)

Demographics

Most White voters back Paxton while most Latino and Black voters support Talarico, according to the poll.

Paxton leads among men, while Talarico leads among women.

Younger voters are backing Talarico while Paxton leads with older voters.

Cast your vote

Early voting in Texas ends Friday, and Election Day polls open at 7 a.m. Tuesday.

Related

Texas voting guide: Final week of early voting is underway. Here's what you should know

Early voting for the November election is underway. Voters can cast their ballots early through Friday, Oct. 30.

The Source: Information in this story came from a poll conducted by Texas Southern University and previous FOX Local reporting.

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