FXUS64 KMAF 151117
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
617 AM CDT WED JUL 15 2015
See aviation discussion below.
VFR conditions are expected today. Thunderstorms may near CNM late
in the afternoon and have opted to include a PROB30 group there
after 21Z, gusty winds will be possible with storms.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 418 AM CDT WED JUL 15 2015/
An upper level ridge is over the Southern Plains and is generally
expected to remain over the southern conus through early next week.
This upper ridging will keep most of the precipitation out of the
CWA except across areas along and west of the Upper Trans Pecos,
especially the higher terrain. There is a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms across this area for the next few days.
Precipitation chances will diminish across the area over the weekend
as the upper ridge becomes more established over the region. The
GFS is showing an increasing chance of thunderstorms across the area
beginning on Monday as it indicates an upper trough moving over the
Upper Midwest weakening the upper ridge over the region. The ECMWF
is still showing the upper ridge over the southern states during
this time with not much chance of rain. Temperatures today may be a
couple degrees cooler than yesterday as increased moisture moves
into the area. Temperatures will generally range from the mid 90s
to lower 100s across the Permian Basin through the next seven days.
Delivered by Weather Underground Inc. Wed Jul 15 2015 7:17AM EDT