Tropical Weather Forecast - August 2, 2023

Disturbance in the middle of the Atlantic now only has a small chance to develop into a tropical cyclone as it moves north. So it will likely not become a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm. In the Eastern Pacific, Dora is a small but powerful hurricane moving west but is no threat to land.

Tropical Weather Forecast - August 1, 2023

We are still tracking one tropical wave in the central Atlantic which now only has a 30% chance of becoming a tropical depression or tropical storm Emily as it moves north. It is not a threat to the US coast. Things are still quiet in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean with no tropical cyclone formation expected over the next few days. In the eastern Pacific, Tropical Storm Dora has formed and is moving west away from Mexico. It is expected to become a major hurricane by Thursday but is not a threat to land at this point.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 31, 2023

A tropical wave in the central Atlantic is a bit less organized today but still has a good 60% chance for development over the next 2 days & a 70% chance over the next 7 days. But it is moving north & should stay away from the US. Another Tropical wave in the western Atlantic only has a 10% to develop into a tropical system as it races to the ENE.

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Tropical Weather Forecast - July 29, 2023

That tropical wave in the middle of the Atlantic is trying to get more organized. If it can hang on for 3 more days, it will probably become the next named storm.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 28, 2023

A tropical wave now pushing into the central Atlantic now has a 20% chance for development the next 48 hours and a 60% chance for development the next 7 days. There's a decent shot this could become tropical storm Emily by next week. But it is expected to turn north before making it to the US. Another tropical wave is impacting Florida and SE Georgia but is not going to develop since it is already moving on to land. A third tropical wave in the SW Caribbean is close to the Central American coast with only a 10% shot for development into a tropical cyclone.

Tropical Weather Update - July 27, 2023

It's another day without any heat alerts thanks to our slightly lower humidity. But the temperatures are hot enough and it's about to get hotter! Look for isolated rain & thunder through early evening and again Friday PM. Saharan dust remains in the area but our air quality remains in the moderate category. That means most of you should not be affected since we are not at the unhealthy level. Rain chances drop to 10% Saturday and go away completely Sunday and Monday. The heat dome will push closer to us this weekend and intensify causing another stretch of triple digits temperatures. In fact, heat advisories are likely to return by Sunday and Monday. So get ready for more dangerous heat and make sure to download our FOX 26 WX App to keep track of any heat alerts!

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 26, 2023

The tropical wave near the Bahamas and the other wave in the eastern Caribbean ran into some unfavorable conditions and are no longer being monitored for development. However, a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is not expected to develop over the next two days. But this wave has a 30% chance to become a tropical depression, storm or hurricane over the next week as it moves west. Saharan dust in the Atlantic is limiting development. But outside of the dust, water temperatures are very warm and that will act as fuel for future systems.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 18, 2023

The tropics are quiet for now across the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea. However, we are still tracking Tropical Storm Don in the North Central Atlantic which is not expected to be a threat to land anytime soon. Tropical Storm Calvin is bearing down on the Big Island of Hawaii tonight and Wednesday with a Tropical Storm Warning in place. Heavy rain, big surf, and gusty winds are likely.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 9, 2023

Things are still quiet in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean. But there's one area in the Central Atlantic being monitored for possible development. There's a 30% chance of a tropical or subtropical cyclone developing NE of Bermuda over the next 7 days. Eastern Pacific is still fairly active with a system south of the southern Mexican coast with a high chance of development over the next 7 days. Another system offshore of SW Mexico has a medium chance for development over the next few days. But it is moving away from the US and Mexico.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 8, 2023

The Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean and Atlantic are still very quiet with no tropical cyclone activity expected over the next 7 days. Saharan dust continues to hinder development even though water temperatures are extremely warm. We are expecting things to get more active over the next month or two so stay alert! In the eastern Pacific, two systems have a high chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm. One could become a named storm tonight or tomorrow while the other will likely take a little longer. Calvin and Dora are the next two names on the list for eastern Pacific storms.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 7, 2023

All is quiet in the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean and Atlantic with Saharan dust helping to hinder tropical cyclone development for now. But water temperatures are very warm and that could aid in development over the next few weeks. There are two areas of low pressure in the eastern Pacific that have a high chance for development over the next week. But they are moving away from Mexico and the US for now.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 6, 2023

The big news today is that the official Colorado State University hurricane season outlook was updated for a second time since April. Forecasters are now calling for 18 named storms, 9 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes due to the unusually warm waters of the tropical Atlantic 4-6 degrees above normal. At this point, the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico & Caribbean are quiet with no tropical cyclone formation expected for the next 7 days. But things are expected to get a lot more active in August and September which is usually the most active period of hurricane season. The eastern pacific is more active with two broad areas of low pressure off the S/SW Mexican coast. They both have a shot to become a tropical depression or storm over the next 7 days.

Tropical Weather Forecast - July 5, 2023

Saharan dust continues to mix in some drier air in the atmosphere hindering tropical development in the Atlantic. Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean remain quiet as well with no tropical cyclone formation expected over the next 7 days. There are a few disturbances to monitor in the eastern Pacific though. Once has a high chance to become a tropical depression south of the SW Mexican coast over the next week.